Week 18: Resilience, Part Three (First Morning)

Some people idolize sports figures, watching every game, memorizing stats, wearing replicas of their jerseys or clothing with their team’s emblems.  Others follow politicians or entertainers, following them in the media, keeping up with their projects, hanging on their every word.  I, on the other hand, idolize human factors researchers, poring over their books and journal articles and following their most recent work.  This morning, in Lisbon, I found myself surrounded by my version of rock stars.

The opening plenary had been a nice discussion regarding how language (absence of risk) and negative connotation (look up something for here) has, over time, limited the ‘operating space’ of safety practitioners, with resilience presented as one possible antidote.  The morning break (during which I lurked on a conversation between David Woods and Sidney Dekker, two of my favorites, swoon) was followed with lectures by practitioners who had applied the tools in the field.   The program included a lecture by Atsfumi Yoshikawa, a senior engineer with the Japan Atomic Energy Agency who was on site at Fukushima Dai-ichi during the 2011 earthquake.

For those who may not remember, Fukushima Dai-ichi is a nuclear power plant located on the east coast of Japan.  Positioned in an idyllic fishing region 160 miles (260 km) north of Tokyo, the plant consisted of six boiling-water reactors. Prior to the earthquake, three of the six reactors had been shut down in preparation for refueling.  After the earthquake, a 9.0 temblor centered 45 miles off the coast, the three operational reactors also shut down (SCRAM-ed), leaving the plant unable to generate the power required to operate the coolant pumps.  The diesel pumps kicked on, but these were located in low-lying areas and all failed shortly after they were overcome by water in the subsequent tsunami*. This left the plant without a method to circulate the water needed to dissipate the control rods’ heat, and if cooling could not be re-established the rods would have become hot enough to melt themselves in a matter of days.  Dr. Yoshikawa’s presentation was a first-hand account of the days and weeks immediately after the earthquake and tsunami.

Version 2Dr. Yoshikawa began with an overview of the circumstances, then went directly to their experiences on the ground.  They had known it was bad, so they asked for volunteers to remain behind to try to recover the plant.  Everyone who wanted to leave was given the opportunity to do so, and he had been surprised how many stayed.  He described the psychological conditions they were working under: no one on the team expected to survive, and their first act as a team was to take photos of each other for their families, all the while not knowing whether their families had survived the fifteen-foot high wall of water.  He reported that since no one had considered a failure of this magnitude, available checklists were useless, and he and his team were left to improvise a response.  He told of the difficult physical environment: work had to be performed wearing cumbersome protective suits, and tasks had to be planned and performed around the short intervals to reduce radiation risks, all the while with limited access to food, water and sanitation.   He even admitted (bravely to my mind) to disobeying his superiors and ordering fire trucks to spray water directly on the facility, the very act that prevented meltdown.

Version 2But he did not stop there.  As both and engineer and a practitioner, he was in the unique position to reflect on the assumptions and decisions  that led to the situation he and his colleagues faced.  He described how the conditions far exceeded any worst case scenarios that had been reviewed during safety analyses, analyses in some cases that he had chaired. He shared that the traditional view of safety, defined as freedom from unacceptable risk, had led them to discount the flexibility and resilience human operators add during contingencies as they respond to degrading (or in their case failed) system conditions.  He admitted his team’s successful resolution of previous events had led them to believe the system was more resilient than it was, or ever could be.  He reviewed the ‘iceberg’ model (that most threats reside unseen below the surface of everyday operations) and suggested that during emergencies, threats increase and actions intensify, creating a set of required tasks that may not be handled and increase the potential for failure. He also observed that disasters show social systems for what they really are. He ended his presentation with an apology, to his superiors, to his countrymen, and to the citizens of the world, for allowing this event to even occur.  We were all blown away by his humility and honesty, and once he had finished we sat in hushed silence.

DSCN2665So how can you follow that?  You can’t, so we broke for lunch.

More soon!

*This flooding scenario had been seen at hospitals during Katrina and would play out again during Sandy and Irene.  It is my understanding that since Sandy, hospitals and other critical infrastructure have been encouraged to relocate their back-up power sources to higher ground.  If you are curious how this is proceeding in your community, I encourage you to contact your Emergency Manager.

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